2026 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026, 5:00 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss
Predicted scoreLikely
Mississippi State
22.5
Ole Miss
36.6
Ole Miss win probability: 81%
Margin (Ole Miss − Mississippi State): 14.1 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 59.1 (80% range 35 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.60% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:08 PM | 14.0 | 59.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:01 PM | 14.1 | 59.1 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:05 PM | 14.1 | 59.1 | 81% |