Mississippi State
SEC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Arizona | 24–31 | 22.7–30.7 | 1.0 |
| Week 3 | vs LSU | 41–14 | 28.4–25.6 | 24.2 |
| Week 4 | @ South Carolina | 37–30 | 22.9–24.1 | 8.2 |
| Week 5 | vs Alabama | 40–17 | 35.1–19.8 | 7.7 |
| Week 6 | vs Western Michigan | 28–41 | 20.9–36.1 | 2.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Arkansas | 3–7 | 29.0–22.8 | 10.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Auburn | 27–13 | 26.3–21.0 | 8.7 |
| Week 10 | vs Kentucky | 24–3 | 27.0–25.1 | 19.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Texas A&M | 51–10 | 30.5–19.9 | 30.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Southern Miss | 20–41 | 19.1–29.9 | 10.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Ole Miss | 17–7 | 34.3–22.3 | 2.1 |