2023 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2023, 12:30 AM · Davis Wade Stadium

Ole Miss @ Mississippi State

Predicted scoreLikely

Ole Miss

34.3

Mississippi State

22.3

Mississippi State win probability: 23%

Margin (Mississippi State − Ole Miss): -12.1 (80% range -33 to 8)

Total: 56.6 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: Ole Miss 17 – Mississippi State 7 (margin error 2.1, total error 32.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.