Sam's Scores

2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 4:00 PM · Davis Wade Stadium

Western Michigan @ Mississippi State

Predicted scoreLikely
Western Michigan
20.9
Mississippi State
36.1
Mississippi State win probability: 83%
Margin (Mississippi State − Western Michigan): 15.2 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Western Michigan 28 – Mississippi State 41 (margin error 2.2, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
17280.72%
17350.72%
14310.70%
14380.69%
17380.69%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →