2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:30 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Mississippi State @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Mississippi State

24.1

South Carolina

22.9

South Carolina win probability: 47%

Margin (South Carolina − Mississippi State): -1.2 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 47.0 (80% range 25 to 70)

Actual: Mississippi State 30 – South Carolina 37 (margin error 8.2, total error 20.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.