2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 12:30 AM · Kyle Field
Mississippi State @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreLikely
Mississippi State
19.9
Texas A&M
30.5
Texas A&M win probability: 75%
Margin (Texas A&M − Mississippi State): 10.6 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Mississippi State 10 – Texas A&M 51 (margin error 30.4, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.