2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 11:30 PM · Davis Wade Stadium
Arizona @ Mississippi State
Predicted scoreLean
Arizona
22.7
Mississippi State
30.7
Mississippi State win probability: 69%
Margin (Mississippi State − Arizona): 8.0 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 53.5 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Arizona 24 – Mississippi State 31 (margin error 1.0, total error 1.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.