2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Davis Wade Stadium
Oklahoma @ Mississippi State
Predicted scoreLean
Oklahoma
28.3
Mississippi State
22.7
Mississippi State win probability: 36%
Margin (Mississippi State − Oklahoma): -5.7 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:48 PM | -5.6 | 50.5 | 36% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:53 PM | -5.6 | 50.6 | 36% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:45 PM | -5.7 | 51.0 | 36% |