2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Mississippi State @ LSU
Predicted scoreLean
Mississippi State
22.4
LSU
29.1
LSU win probability: 67%
Margin (LSU − Mississippi State): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:33 PM | 6.7 | 51.5 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:41 PM | 6.7 | 51.5 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:54 PM | 6.7 | 51.5 | 67% |