James Madison

Sun Belt

2025 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Past prediction accuracy — 2025

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 2	@ Louisville	28–14	33.9–23.4	3.5
Week 4	@ Liberty	13–31	23.4–29.1	12.4
Week 5	vs Georgia Southern	10–35	22.2–33.6	13.6
Week 6	@ Georgia State	7–14	20.5–33.3	5.8
Week 7	vs Louisiana	14–24	19.0–31.1	2.0
Week 8	vs Old Dominion	27–63	23.2–24.8	34.3
Week 10	@ Texas State	20–52	28.7–29.6	31.1
Week 11	@ Marshall	23–35	21.4–32.6	0.8
Week 12	vs App State	10–58	17.5–35.3	30.2
Week 13	vs Washington State	20–24	21.1–31.6	6.4
Week 14	@ Coastal Carolina	10–59	16.2–31.2	34.0
Week 15	vs Troy	14–31	15.0–32.3	0.3
Week 1	@ Oregon	51–34	38.7–17.5	4.1