2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 8:45 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

James Madison @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreLikely

James Madison

31.2

Coastal Carolina

16.2

Coastal Carolina win probability: 17%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − James Madison): -15.0 (80% range -35 to 4)

Total: 47.5 (80% range 27 to 70)

Actual: James Madison 59 – Coastal Carolina 10 (margin error 34.0, total error 21.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.