James Madison

Sun Belt

2023 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Past prediction accuracy — 2023

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 2	@ Virginia	35–36	25.4–27.6	1.2
Week 3	@ Troy	14–16	27.1–27.0	2.0
Week 4	@ Utah State	38–45	27.1–33.1	1.0
Week 5	vs South Alabama	23–31	27.7–26.2	9.5
Week 7	vs Georgia Southern	13–41	21.6–32.4	17.2
Week 8	@ Marshall	9–20	23.5–27.3	7.3
Week 9	vs Old Dominion	27–30	20.0–33.8	10.7
Week 10	@ Georgia State	14–42	27.1–29.4	25.7
Week 11	vs UConn	6–44	16.0–37.0	16.9
Week 12	vs App State	26–23	24.9–35.5	13.7
Week 13	@ Coastal Carolina	14–56	24.9–29.0	37.9
Week 1	@ Air Force	31–21	27.6–25.8	8.1