2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

James Madison @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

James Madison

29.0

Coastal Carolina

24.9

Coastal Carolina win probability: 40%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − James Madison): -4.1 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: James Madison 56 – Coastal Carolina 14 (margin error 37.9, total error 16.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.