2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
James Madison @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
James Madison
29.0
Coastal Carolina
24.9
Coastal Carolina win probability: 40%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − James Madison): -4.1 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: James Madison 56 – Coastal Carolina 14 (margin error 37.9, total error 16.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.