2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 7:00 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium
UConn @ James Madison
Predicted scoreConfident
UConn
16.0
James Madison
37.0
James Madison win probability: 91%
Margin (James Madison − UConn): 21.1 (80% range 0 to 42)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: UConn 6 – James Madison 44 (margin error 16.9, total error 3.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.