2023 Week 9 · Oct 29, 2023, 12:00 AM · Bridgeforth Stadium

Old Dominion @ James Madison

Predicted scoreLikely

Old Dominion

20.0

James Madison

33.8

James Madison win probability: 80%

Margin (James Madison − Old Dominion): 13.7 (80% range -7 to 35)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Old Dominion 27 – James Madison 30 (margin error 10.7, total error 3.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.