2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium

Old Dominion @ James Madison

Predicted scoreToss-up

Old Dominion

23.2

James Madison

24.8

James Madison win probability: 54%

Margin (James Madison − Old Dominion): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)

Actual: Old Dominion 27 – James Madison 63 (margin error 34.3, total error 42.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.