2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 5:30 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium

Georgia Southern @ James Madison

Predicted scoreLikely

Georgia Southern

22.2

James Madison

33.6

James Madison win probability: 76%

Margin (James Madison − Georgia Southern): 11.4 (80% range -10 to 32)

Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)

Actual: Georgia Southern 10 – James Madison 35 (margin error 13.6, total error 10.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.