UConn
FBS Independents
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Syracuse | 27–20 | 34.9–22.8 | 5.1 |
| Week 3 | @ Delaware | 44–41 | 21.9–24.5 | 5.6 |
| Week 4 | vs Ball State | 25–31 | 21.6–33.7 | 6.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Buffalo | 17–20 | 23.9–29.7 | 2.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Florida International | 10–51 | 20.5–31.5 | 30.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Boston College | 23–38 | 27.0–29.5 | 12.5 |
| Week 9 | @ Rice | 37–34 | 22.7–30.9 | 11.2 |
| Week 10 | vs UAB | 19–38 | 24.3–34.6 | 8.8 |
| Week 11 | vs Duke | 34–37 | 34.6–28.4 | 9.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Air Force | 16–26 | 28.0–35.1 | 2.9 |
| Week 13 | @ Florida Atlantic | 45–48 | 28.0–29.3 | 1.7 |
| Week 1 | @ Army | 41–16 | 26.2–21.6 | 20.5 |