2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 4:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

UConn @ Boston College

Predicted scoreToss-up

UConn

29.5

Boston College

27.0

Boston College win probability: 43%

Margin (Boston College − UConn): -2.5 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 56.5 (80% range 33 to 82)

Actual: UConn 38 – Boston College 23 (margin error 12.5, total error 4.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.