Predicted scoreToss-up
UConn
24.5
Delaware
21.9
Delaware win probability: 43%
Margin (Delaware − UConn): -2.6 (80% range -21 to 17)
Total: 46.4 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: UConn 41 – Delaware 44 (margin error 5.6, total error 38.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.