Predicted scoreLikely
UConn
22.8
Syracuse
34.9
Syracuse win probability: 77%
Margin (Syracuse − UConn): 12.1 (80% range -9 to 33)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: UConn 20 – Syracuse 27 (margin error 5.1, total error 10.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 28 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.