UConn

FBS Independents

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Massachusetts	23.3–32.6	72%
Week 9	@ Air Force	33.4–26.7	34%
Week 10	vs North Carolina	30.1–24.9	37%
Week 11	vs James Madison	33.3–24.8	30%
Week 12	vs Old Dominion	22.1–27.9	65%
Week 13	@ Wyoming	27.1–29.5	56%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Lafayette	7–56	—	—
Week 2	vs Maryland	38–14	27.9–26.3	22.4
Week 3	@ Southern Miss	20–48	26.9–29.2	25.7
Week 4	@ Miami (OH)	24–21	28.2–29.4	4.2
Week 5	vs Syracuse	42–41	28.2–28.2	1.0
Week 6	@ Temple	20–34	32.3–27.9	18.3