Predicted scoreToss-up
UConn
27.4
Wyoming
25.3
Wyoming win probability: 45%
Margin (Wyoming − UConn): -2.0 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:13 PM | -2.0 | 52.7 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:10 PM | -2.1 | 52.7 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:27 PM | -2.0 | 52.7 | 45% |