2026 Week 8 · Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Massachusetts @ UConn
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
17.6
UConn
40.3
UConn win probability: 92%
Margin (UConn − Massachusetts): 22.7 (80% range 2 to 44)
Total: 57.9 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:54 PM | 22.7 | 57.9 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:46 PM | 22.8 | 57.9 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:26 PM | 22.7 | 57.9 | 92% |