Predicted scoreToss-up
Maryland
27.9
UConn
26.1
UConn win probability: 45%
Margin (UConn − Maryland): -1.8 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:29 PM | -1.7 | 53.9 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:27 PM | -1.8 | 54.1 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:34 PM | -1.8 | 54.0 | 45% |