Predicted scoreToss-up
Syracuse
26.7
UConn
30.3
UConn win probability: 59%
Margin (UConn − Syracuse): 3.6 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 57.0 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:11 PM | 3.6 | 57.0 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:15 PM | 3.6 | 57.0 | 59% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:50 PM | 3.6 | 57.0 | 59% |