Predicted scoreToss-up
UConn
32.2
Temple
28.3
Temple win probability: 41%
Margin (Temple − UConn): -3.9 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 60.6 (80% range 35 to 87)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:24 PM | -3.9 | 60.6 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:21 PM | -3.9 | 60.6 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:05 PM | -3.9 | 60.6 | 41% |