Massachusetts
Mid-American
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ New Mexico State | 30–41 | 32.0–22.4 | 20.6 |
| Week 1 | @ Auburn | 59–14 | 42.3–8.4 | 11.1 |
| Week 2 | vs Miami (OH) | 41–28 | 28.6–21.2 | 5.6 |
| Week 3 | @ Eastern Michigan | 19–17 | 29.9–21.1 | 6.8 |
| Week 4 | vs New Mexico | 34–31 | 25.9–25.8 | 3.0 |
| Week 5 | vs Arkansas State | 52–28 | 31.1–29.8 | 22.7 |
| Week 6 | vs Toledo | 41–24 | 37.6–20.1 | 0.5 |
| Week 7 | @ Penn State | 63–0 | 46.1–10.4 | 27.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Army | 14–21 | 29.8–17.8 | 19.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Liberty | 49–25 | 40.0–18.0 | 2.1 |
| Week 13 | vs UConn | 31–18 | 28.1–24.4 | 9.2 |