2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM · Jordan-Hare Stadium
Massachusetts @ Auburn
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
8.4
Auburn
42.3
Auburn win probability: 99%
Margin (Auburn − Massachusetts): 33.9 (80% range 14 to 55)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 30 to 73)
Actual: Massachusetts 14 – Auburn 59 (margin error 11.1, total error 22.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45 | 1.22% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.15% |
| 7 | 38 | 1.15% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.09% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.09% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.