2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

UConn @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreToss-up

UConn

28.1

Massachusetts

24.4

Massachusetts win probability: 41%

Margin (Massachusetts − UConn): -3.8 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 52.5 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: UConn 31 – Massachusetts 18 (margin error 9.2, total error 3.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.