Massachusetts

Mid-American

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ UConn	32.6–23.3	28%
Week 10	vs Ball State	24.2–29.0	62%
Week 11	@ Toledo	32.8–19.7	20%
Week 12	vs Akron	22.1–29.9	69%
Week 13	@ Bowling Green	24.4–25.1	51%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Rutgers	21–37	40.0–14.1	41.9
Week 2	vs Sacred Heart	10–37	—	—
Week 3	vs Stonehill	14–36	—	—
Week 4	@ Sacramento State	6–35	25.0–27.6	26.4
Week 5	vs Eastern Michigan	38–14	22.4–28.7	30.4
Week 6	vs Miami (OH)	20–19	29.0–25.5	2.4
Week 7	@ Buffalo	25–18	28.1–23.6	2.4