2026 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2026, 5:00 AM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Akron @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreLean
Akron
28.8
Massachusetts
21.6
Massachusetts win probability: 32%
Margin (Massachusetts − Akron): -7.2 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:48 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:43 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:16 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |