2026 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2026, 5:00 AM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Akron @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreLean
Akron
22.1
Massachusetts
29.9
Massachusetts win probability: 69%
Margin (Massachusetts − Akron): 7.8 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:48 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:43 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:16 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:31 AM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:31 PM | -7.2 | 50.4 | 32% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:45 PM | -7.2 | 50.8 | 32% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:46 PM | -0.2 | 51.8 | 50% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:45 PM | 0.7 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:19 PM | 0.7 | 51.5 | 51% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:28 PM | 1.0 | 51.5 | 52% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:49 PM | 1.0 | 51.5 | 52% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:24 PM | 7.1 | 50.8 | 67% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:11 PM | 5.8 | 53.2 | 64% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:07 PM | 4.5 | 53.4 | 61% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:49 PM | 7.8 | 51.9 | 69% |