2026 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2026, 10:00 PM · SHI Stadium
Massachusetts @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreConfident
Massachusetts
14.1
Rutgers
40.0
Rutgers win probability: 95%
Margin (Rutgers − Massachusetts): 25.9 (80% range 6 to 47)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.91% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:14 PM | 25.9 | 54.2 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:11 PM | 25.9 | 54.3 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:25:45 PM | 25.9 | 54.1 | 95% |