2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · UB Stadium
Massachusetts @ Buffalo
Predicted scoreLikely
Massachusetts
19.0
Buffalo
32.9
Buffalo win probability: 81%
Margin (Buffalo − Massachusetts): 13.9 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:28 PM | 13.9 | 51.9 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:39 PM | 13.9 | 51.9 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:11 PM | 13.9 | 51.9 | 81% |