2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreConfident
Miami (OH)
35.6
Massachusetts
16.7
Massachusetts win probability: 11%
Margin (Massachusetts − Miami (OH)): -18.9 (80% range -39 to 0)
Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 7 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.71% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:19 PM | -18.9 | 52.3 | 11% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:20 PM | -18.9 | 52.3 | 11% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:24 PM | -18.9 | 52.3 | 11% |