2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Eastern Michigan @ Massachusetts
Predicted scoreLikely
Eastern Michigan
35.5
Massachusetts
21.7
Massachusetts win probability: 20%
Margin (Massachusetts − Eastern Michigan): -13.8 (80% range -35 to 7)
Total: 57.2 (80% range 34 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:05 PM | -13.8 | 57.2 | 20% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:06 PM | -13.8 | 57.2 | 20% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:38 PM | -13.8 | 57.2 | 20% |