2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 4:00 PM · Michie Stadium
Massachusetts @ Army
Predicted scoreLikely
Massachusetts
17.8
Army
29.8
Army win probability: 78%
Margin (Army − Massachusetts): 12.0 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 47.6 (80% range 27 to 70)
Actual: Massachusetts 21 – Army 14 (margin error 19.0, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 21 | 0.92% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.82% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.