2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 6:00 PM · Rynearson Stadium

Massachusetts @ Eastern Michigan

Predicted scoreLikely

Massachusetts

21.1

Eastern Michigan

29.9

Eastern Michigan win probability: 71%

Margin (Eastern Michigan − Massachusetts): 8.8 (80% range -11 to 29)

Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Massachusetts 17 – Eastern Michigan 19 (margin error 6.8, total error 15.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.