2023 Week 12 · Nov 18, 2023, 6:00 PM · Williams Stadium (VA)

Massachusetts @ Liberty

Predicted scoreConfident

Massachusetts

18.0

Liberty

40.0

Liberty win probability: 91%

Margin (Liberty − Massachusetts): 21.9 (80% range 0 to 43)

Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Massachusetts 25 – Liberty 49 (margin error 2.1, total error 16.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.