2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 7:30 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Miami (OH) @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLean

Miami (OH)

28.6

Massachusetts

21.2

Massachusetts win probability: 32%

Margin (Massachusetts − Miami (OH)): -7.4 (80% range -28 to 13)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Miami (OH) 41 – Massachusetts 28 (margin error 5.6, total error 19.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.