Indiana

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Michigan	22.4–29.4	67%
Week 9	vs Minnesota	12.3–37.0	95%
Week 11	vs USC	22.7–37.7	82%
Week 12	@ Washington	20.5–30.4	74%
Week 13	vs Purdue	18.9–41.4	92%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs North Texas	16–52	16.3–41.0	11.3
Week 2	vs Howard	0–55	—	—
Week 3	vs Western Kentucky	0–38	10.5–44.8	3.7
Week 4	vs Northwestern	23–29	14.9–38.2	17.3
Week 5	@ Rutgers	15–47	16.3–41.7	6.6
Week 6	@ Nebraska	17–20	24.0–32.1	5.1
Week 7	vs Ohio State	19–15	26.5–28.8	6.3