2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Husky Stadium
Indiana @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
Indiana
30.4
Washington
20.5
Washington win probability: 26%
Margin (Washington − Indiana): -10.0 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:57 PM | -10.7 | 51.1 | 25% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:50 PM | -10.8 | 51.1 | 24% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:41 PM | -10.8 | 51.1 | 25% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:58 AM | -10.8 | 51.0 | 25% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:36 PM | -10.8 | 51.0 | 24% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:57 PM | -11.5 | 50.6 | 23% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:58:56 PM | -10.9 | 51.1 | 24% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:52 PM | -15.0 | 49.6 | 16% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:31 PM | -15.0 | 49.6 | 16% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:27 PM | -14.8 | 49.6 | 17% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:08 PM | -14.8 | 49.6 | 17% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:15 PM | -12.2 | 49.6 | 21% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:28 PM | -11.7 | 49.5 | 23% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:23 PM | -12.8 | 52.6 | 21% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:28 PM | -10.0 | 50.9 | 26% |