Indiana
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Ohio State | 23–3 | 42.4–17.9 | 4.5 |
| Week 3 | vs Louisville | 21–14 | 31.5–22.2 | 2.3 |
| Week 4 | vs Akron | 27–29 | 16.6–38.3 | 19.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Maryland | 44–17 | 33.9–20.9 | 14.0 |
| Week 7 | @ Michigan | 52–7 | 40.7–12.3 | 16.6 |
| Week 8 | vs Rutgers | 31–14 | 28.8–21.7 | 10.0 |
| Week 9 | @ Penn State | 33–24 | 38.4–15.5 | 13.9 |
| Week 10 | vs Wisconsin | 14–20 | 29.6–22.5 | 13.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Illinois | 48–45 | 28.2–24.6 | 0.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Michigan State | 24–21 | 25.8–27.0 | 4.1 |
| Week 13 | @ Purdue | 35–31 | 30.8–26.0 | 0.8 |