2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Wisconsin @ Indiana

Predicted scoreLean

Wisconsin

29.6

Indiana

22.5

Indiana win probability: 33%

Margin (Indiana − Wisconsin): -7.1 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 52.1 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Wisconsin 14 – Indiana 20 (margin error 13.1, total error 18.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.