2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Rutgers @ Indiana

Predicted scoreLean

Rutgers

28.8

Indiana

21.7

Indiana win probability: 33%

Margin (Indiana − Rutgers): -7.0 (80% range -27 to 13)

Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Rutgers 31 – Indiana 14 (margin error 10.0, total error 5.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.