2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Akron @ Indiana

Predicted scoreConfident

Akron

16.6

Indiana

38.3

Indiana win probability: 91%

Margin (Indiana − Akron): 21.6 (80% range 1 to 42)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Akron 27 – Indiana 29 (margin error 19.6, total error 1.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.