Sam's Scores

2026 Week 5 · Oct 4, 2026, 12:00 AM · SHI Stadium

Indiana @ Rutgers

Predicted scoreConfident
Indiana
43.1
Rutgers
18.9
Rutgers win probability: 7%
Margin (RutgersIndiana): -24.2 (80% range -46 to -3)
Total: 62.0 (80% range 38 to 88)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
45170.71%
38140.69%
38170.62%
38100.60%
42170.57%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →
Prediction movement through the week
GeneratedPred. marginPred. totalHome win prob
8/13/2026, 8:55:08 PM-24.262.07%
9/3/2026, 1:05:16 PM-24.262.07%
9/3/2026, 2:28:53 PM-24.262.07%