Charlotte

American Athletic

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Tulane	30.9–14.1	13%
Week 10	@ UAB	28.9–17.5	23%
Week 11	vs East Carolina	28.1–17.2	24%
Week 12	@ Tulsa	32.8–16.1	14%
Week 13	vs Navy	30.5–15.3	16%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs The Citadel	43–41	—	—
Week 2	@ Ole Miss	41–9	43.9–10.7	1.1
Week 3	@ App State	26–21	32.0–20.4	6.6
Week 4	vs Louisiana	34–7	27.8–21.1	20.3
Week 5	vs Memphis	59–8	33.0–17.7	35.7
Week 6	@ North Texas	50–10	39.4–13.3	13.9
Week 7	@ Temple	31–38	33.1–17.1	23.0