Predicted scoreLikely
Tulane
31.5
Charlotte
15.9
Charlotte win probability: 15%
Margin (Charlotte − Tulane): -15.5 (80% range -35 to 3)
Total: 47.4 (80% range 26 to 70)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.81% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:56 PM | -15.5 | 47.4 | 15% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:59 PM | -15.5 | 47.4 | 15% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:06 PM | -15.5 | 47.4 | 15% |