Predicted scoreLikely
Charlotte
17.1
Temple
33.1
Temple win probability: 85%
Margin (Temple − Charlotte): 16.0 (80% range -4 to 36)
Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: Charlotte 38 – Temple 31 (margin error 23.0, total error 18.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.89% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.79% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:38 PM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:43 PM | 7.3 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:50 PM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:29 AM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:03:51 PM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:21 PM | 6.6 | 50.3 | 66% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:54:48 PM | 7.7 | 51.3 | 69% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:57:57 PM | 8.6 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:39:37 PM | 8.6 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:58:55 AM | 8.9 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:38 PM | 8.9 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:27 PM | 14.6 | 49.2 | 83% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:24 PM | 18.4 | 48.9 | 88% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:41:43 PM | 16.0 | 50.2 | 85% |